National Championship odds: Louisville Beats Odds, But Kentucky Headed to Title Game

Louisville made them work, covering the +8.5 NCAA odds, but the Kentucky Wildcats are heading to the NCAA Championship game.
Kentucky forward Anthony Davis, who was named the nation’s top player before Saturday’s contest, had 18 points, 14 rebounds and five blocks, yelling out, “this is my stage” as they punched their ticket to the national title game with the 69-61 win. The Wildcats await the winner between Ohio State and Kansas.
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Despite all the stories of them hating each other, Louisville coach Rick Pitino said he conratulated John Calipari on his win and wished him luck in the national championship game.
“I just said John, `I’ll be pulling for you, bring the trophy back home to Kentucky,” Pitino said. “Sometimes there’s a lot of talk about these guys fighting, dialysis, there’s also really a lot of people that get along. … For those that have brains, they root for each other.”
“We like their basketball team; we hope they bring it home for the state.”
Louisville outrebounded Kentucky 40-33, including a whopping 19-6 advantage on the offensive glass — but they couldn’t slow down the size and athleticism of Davis. His wingspan made every shot difficult around the basket, Louisville shot 35 percent from the field compared to Kentucky’s 57 percent.
“I’m proud of this team. They’re coming together,” Calipari said. “They’ve taken on shots and runs like Louisville did today, and they’ve held their own, so I’m proud of them.”
The Wildcats will likely be favored in the national championship game, however, the odds may be closer than bettors think. The Wildcats were out-hustled for stretches Saturday; an upset versus a team many bet on in NCAA futures is possible.
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NCAA Betting: Will Favored Ohio State Pay Out on the Final Four Game Props?

The Ohio State Buckeyes are pegged as the three-point favorites on the March Madness betting lines for their Final Four matchup against the Kansas Jayhawks on Saturday night, but along with the basic spread there are also plenty of prop wagers available for the contest this weekend.

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Ohio State is listed as the -125 favorite to score the first points in the game, and they’re also at -130 to score the first 10 points, and at -140 to score the first 20 points. As well, the Buckeyes are favored at -130 to score the first 3-pointer in the contest.

You can then get the Jayhawks as underdogs on each of those props – they’re at -115 to score the first points, -110 to score the first 10 points, EVEN to score the first 20 points, and -110 to score the first 3-pointer on the night.

Totals bettors who want to focus on just one of the schools can wager on the OVER/UNDER for either Ohio State or Kansas on Saturday. For the Buckeyes, their OVER/UNDER for points is listed at 69.5 at Bovada; they’ve scored 78, 73, 81, and 77 points over their first four games of the NCAA Tournament.

Kansas’ points OVER/UNDER for Saturday sits at 67.5 points, and they haven’t been as prolific as Ohio State so far during March Madness – they’ve scored 65, 63, 60, and 80 points en route to the Final Four.

Buckeyes supporters can get 8/1 odds that their team will win by 1-2 points on Saturday, with 17/4 odds on 3-6 points and 7/1 odds on both 7-9 points and 10-13 points. The Jayhawks are at 8/1 to win by 1-2 points and at 5/1 to win by 3-6 points in the contest.

Finally, Ohio State star Jared Sullinger enters the Final Four at 6/1 odds to win the tournament’s Most Outstanding Player award, with teammate DeShaun Thomas at 9/1. The highest Kansas player on that list is Thomas Robinson, who is pegged at 8/1 odds.

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NIT Betting Season Coming to a Close with Title Game on Thursday Night

It’ll be No. 3 Stanford vs. No. 6 Minnesota on Thursday night as NIT betting wraps up in the championship game for the tournament at Madison Square Garden in New York.

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The Cardinal reached the title game on Tuesday night with a 74-64 win over No. 5 Massachusetts in their semifinal matchup at MSG. At Bovada Stanford was a 2.5-point favorite in that contest, and the combined score was an UNDER result for totals bettors.

Anthony Brown tossed in a team-high 18 points for Stanford against UMass, with Josh Owens good for 15 points and 12 rebounds andAaron Bright adding 13 points of his own.

Stanford beat No. 6 Cleveland State 76-65 at home as a 6-point favorite in their first-round matchup and then topped No. 7 Illinois State (92-88 in OT) and No. 5 Nevada (84-56) at home as well before taking care of UMass. The Cardinal are 3-1 ATS so far in the NIT.

Minnesota slipped past No. 1 Washington by a score of 68-67 in overtime in the other NIT semifinal on Tuesday night; the Huskies were set as one-point favorites on the college basketball betting lines at Bovada that night. The final score was an UNDER result.

Andre Hollins led the Golden Gophers’ attack with a team-high 20 points in their victory over top-seeded Washington and Rodney Williams tossed in 18 points in that contest.

Minnesota beat No. 3 La Salle 70-61 in their tournament-opening game on March 14, and then rolled to two more road victories over No. 2 Miami (78-60) and No. 4 Middle Tennessee (78-72); the Golden Gophers picked up ATS wins as underdogs in each of those games.

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Cardinals Emerge Victorious on March Madness Betting Lines, Head to the Final Four

The Louisville Cardinals won the Big East Tournament this season and they’ve continued on that roll all the way to New Orleans as they’ll take on top-seeded Kentucky in a Final Four betting matchup at the Superdome on Saturday night.

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The Cardinals topped Cincinnati 50-44 in the championship game of the Big East Tournament on March 10 and they haven’t looked back since then, rattling off four straight wins at the Big Dance to claim the West Region.

No. 4 Louisville began its NCAA Tournament with a 69-62 win over No. 13 Davidson, and then topped No. 5 New Mexico 59-56 before upsetting No. 1 Michigan State with a 57-44 victory in the Sweet 16. The Cards then beat No. 7 Florida 72-68 in the Elite Eight.

Russ Smith had 19 points for Louisville against Florida and Chane Behanan added 17 points in that victory. Peyton Siva was held to just nine points but had eight assists.

Louisville has managed to cover the posted spread in all four of their NCAA Tournament games to date, with the OVER/UNDER going 1-3 in their contests; the Florida win was the only OVER result.

As the lowest seed remaining in the NCAA Tournament the Cardinals are the +800 underdog at Bovada to win the championship; Kentucky is favored at -140, with Ohio State at +290 and Kansas at +500.

Back on March 12 Louisville was at 35/1 odds on Bovada’s NCAA Tournament futures.

On the college basketball props market Siva is currently the highest Louisville player at 18/1 to win the tournament’s Most Outstanding Player award. Gorgui Dieng is at 20/1 on that list, with Kyle Kuric at 25/1 and Behanan at 35/1.

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Thursday NIT Championship Game Odds: Stanford vs. Minnesota

The best consolation prize for not making the NCAA Tournament would be winning the NIT title, and that’s on the line Thursday night at Madison Square Garden in New York when No. 3 seed Stanford faces No. 6 Minnesota, with the Cardinal as slight favorites on WagerWeb.com.

Stanford (25-11) has had only one close call in this tournament, an overtime win over Illinois State last week. The Cardinal punched their finals ticket with a 74-64 victory over Massachusetts on Tuesday. Anthony Brown scored a season-high 18 points and Josh Owens had 15 points and 12 rebounds to led Stanford. The Minutemen took their first lead since early in the game with about 8 minutes left, but Brown hit a 3-pointer to push the Cardinal back on top, then later scored seven points during an 11-3 run that put Stanford in control.

The Cardinal had 54 rebounds, matching its highest season output. Meanwhile, the 54 rebounds established a school postseason record, surpassing the 53 against Purdue on March 20, 1998 in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament. And Stanford is now 11-1 this year when Brown scores in double figures.

Minnesota (23-14) enters off a 68-67 overtime win over another Pac-12 team, Washington (the Pac-12 regular season champ), on Tuesday night. Gophers freshman Andre Hollins scored five of Minnesota’s seven points in the extra period. With the shot clock winding down and the Gophers clinging to a one-point lead in the final minute, he banked in an off-balance shot to put Minnesota up 68-65. Hollins led the team with 20 points.

The Gophers improved to 3-3 in overtime games this season. They have made this run without senior center Ralph Sampson III, who has missed the last six with a sprained right knee.

Minnesota is looking for its third NIT crown after winning in 1993 and 1998. Stanford won the 1991 title.


Reaching the NIT final isn’t necessarily a springboard to a better following season. Of the 24 finalists the past two years, only five went on to win one or more games in the NCAA tournament the next year. Two (Baylor in 2010, North Carolina in 2011, coming off NIT finals appearances the years before) went to the Elite Eight and one (West Virginia in 2008) made the Sweet 16. Only half the 24 teams made the NCAA field the following year. Last year, Wichita State beat Alabama in the NIT final and both were in this year’s NCAA Tournament (but lost their first games).

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NIT TOURNAMENT – CHAMPIONSHIP: Stanford vs Minnesota Betting

PREVIEW: The spotlight figures to be on two freshman point guards when sixth-seeded Minnesota faces third-seeded Stanford in the NIT championship game at Madison Square Garden. Stanford’s Chasson Randle leads his team in scoring while shooting 44 percent from the field, and Andre Hollins scored a team-high 20 points in the Gophers’ 68-67 overtime victory over Washington in the semifinals. Minnesota is looking for its third NIT crown after winning in 1993 and 1998, although the latter was vacated due to an ineligible player. Stanford, which won the 1991 NIT title, improved to 11-4 in six NIT appearances with its 74-64 victory over Massachusetts on Tuesday.

Stanford vs Minnesota Betting

When: 7:00 PM ET, Thursday, March 29, 2012
Where: Madison Square Garden, New York, New York
TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

The Opening Line is : Minnesota PK  Click here to Bet at Bovada

MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS (23-14): The Gophers were 6-12 in the Big Ten and lost seven of their final nine games before winning three straight road games to reach the NIT semifinals. Against Washington, Rodney Williams had 18 points and nine rebounds despite playing much of the second half in foul trouble. “It seems like when he gets off to a good start we play well,” said coach Tubby Smith. Williams needs 16 points to break Voshon Lenard’s school record for most points in a postseason tournament. Lenard had 99 points in the 1993 NIT. Hollins, who was once recruited by Stanford, is averaging 17.8 points in the NIT.

STANFORD CARDINAL (25-11): Josh Owens had 15 points and tied a career high with 12 rebounds against Massachusetts, and he’ll need another strong effort against the Gophers. Owens will likely be asked to neutralize Williams, who was called one of the top five athletes in college basketball by Stanford coach Johnny Dawkins. Guard Anthony Brown scored a season-high 18 points against the Minutemen, including a key 3-pointer late in the game. The backcourt trio of Randle, Brown and Aaron Bright scored 43 of the team’s 74 points in the win. The title game could be a defensive battle, with Stanford allowing an average of 63.5 points and Minnesota holding teams to an average of 64.5.

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1. Minnesota center Ralph Sampson III has missed the last six games with a sprained right knee, and his status is doubtful for the NIT final.

2. Stanford is just the fourth team to play at New York’s Madison Square Garden in both the Preseason and Postseason NIT during the same season.

3. The teams share two common opponents, Southern California and Washington. Stanford was 2-0 against the Trojans, and the Gophers won 55-40. The Cardinal lost 76-63 at Washington, while Minnesota beat the Huskies on Tuesday.

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NCAA CBI Championship Online Betting: Washington State Cougars vs Pittsburgh Panthers

Washington St. at Pittsburgh Betting

When: 7:00 PM ET, Wednesday, March 28, 2012
Where: Petersen Events Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

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THE STORY: After winning on its home court in the opening game of the College Basketball Invitational’s best-of-3 championship series, Washington State looks to clinch the title in Pittsburgh. The Cougars opened the series with a 67-66 victory after Pittsburgh’s Lamar Patterson missed a desperation shot at the buzzer. Washington State played without top scorer and rebounder Brock Motum, who is questionable for the series after spraining his ankle early in last Wednesday’s game at Oregon State. Pittsburgh will need a better defensive effort after the Cougars shot 51 percent in the first game, including 60 percent (9 of 15) from beyond the arc. If a third game is necessary, it will be played in Pittsburgh on Friday.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, HDNet

Washington State Cougars (19-16):
 Motum averages 18 points to lead the Pac-12, but was sitting on the bench in a suit Monday and appears unlikely to play against Pittsburgh. With Motum out, forward Abe Lodwick has stepped up to average 19.5 points and 9.5 rebounds in his last two games. He was 4 of 5 from 3-point range in Game 1 and moved into first on the school’s single-season list for 3-point field goal percentage at 49.5 (47 of 95). The Cougars have shot 56.7 percent (17 of 30) from beyond the arc in their last two games. Reggie Moore has scored in double figures in four straight games, and he averages 5.3 assists to lead the Pac-12.

Pittsburgh Panthers (20-17): The Panthers will be eager to return home, where they’re 91-3 all-time against non-conference opponents in the Petersen Events Center. However, the team lost to Long Beach State and Wagner at home earlier this season. Guard Tray Woodall scored a team-high 16 points, including four 3-pointers, against the Cougars in Game 1, but Patterson had his lowest output in eight games with seven points. After shooting a combined 1 of 16 in the semifinals against Butler, seniors Ashton Gibbs and Nasir Robinson responded with a total of 18 points Monday. Pittsburgh, which ranks among the nation’s top 15 in rebounding margin, outrebounded the Cougars 28-26 in Game 1.

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1. The teams flew to Pittsburgh on the same charter flight Tuesday morning. “We’ll get to know each other really well,” Cougars coach Ken Bone said.

2. The Cougars are attempting to become the third Pac-12 team after Oregon State (2009) and Oregon (2011) to win the five-year-old CBI.

3. Washington State tied for eighth in the Pac-12 while the Panthers tied for 13th in the Big East.

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Bet on 2012 Final Four: Buckeyes and Jayhawks In Battle of Second Seeds

In a battle of powerhouses, the Ohio State Buckeyes and Kansas Jayhawks wage war for the second time this year for a chance to play for the national championship. The first time they met, Ohio State was spanked 78-67 with one glaring omission. This time around, Jared Sullinger will be on the court for the Buckeyes.

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Sullinger has been one of my favorite players to watch over the last two years because of his incredible post game. You rarely see someone that refined in the college level and the results are apparent. Sullinger’s averaged 18.0 points and 8.3 rebounds per game throughout March Madness and is looking to shut down Kansas’s inside game with his own patented skill set.

While Sullinger has been the focus for much of my Ohio State coverage this year, he’s certainly not alone. William Buford and Deshaun Thomas have been playing lights out and make Ohio State an incredibly balanced team that’s worth banking on for NCAA Basketball bettors. At least in this game.

#2 Ohio State Buckeyes (31-7) vs. #2 Kansas Jayhawks (31-6)
Saturday, March 31st — 8:45pm EST
Final Four Betting Line: Ohio State -2.5 (136.5) CLICK HERE to bet on 2012

Because of their high clout in the college basketball world, neither Kansas nor Ohio State have been great bets all season. The Buckeyes were able to build a 20-13 ATS record this year because of Sullinger’s absence for some games, and Kansas went a pedestrian 18-17-1 ATS this year.

The Jayhawks are also 9-1 SU and just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games and Ohio State is only slightly better at 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS. What I will say is that at least Ohio State got to the Big Ten Championship, where they lost to Michigan State 68-64. Kansas was offered an early exit from their own conference tournament by Baylor in their only loss over the past ten games. Unfortunately, they were -6.5 favorites in that game.

What leans in Kansas’ favor is the rise of Jeff Withey, a seven-foot center who’s notched 20 blocks during March Madness. That’s insane, especially since we all questioned his motor and ceiling during the season. His defense and rebounding have made power-forward Thomas Robinson an absolute wrecking ball in the paint. Robinson has three double-doubles during March Madness and is averaging 15.8 points per game.

Like Ohio State, Kansas isn’t a one-fiddle team and like Sullinger, Robinson isn’t alone. Tyshawn Taylor, though erratic, is an explosive presence on the court and had a breakout game of 22-6-5 against UNC to lead his team to a 80-67 victory.
Sorry, but I basically took a page there to tell you that both teams are built around premier level power-forwards in the post and have great supporting casts. As the oddsmakers have indicated, this game is as much of a toss-up as you’d expect which makes it a smart money play. For all the glory that Kansas has earned over the years, they are simply not consistent enough to warrant a wager. Even in tournament play they are just 2-2 ATS so far. They were lucky that UNC fell apart at the seams without Kendall Marshall because that game was a lot closer than the 80-67 final score indicates.

Ohio State isn’t a perfect team by any stretch of the imagination, but they’ve weathered some incredibly good teams in the tournament, including Syracuse, a punchy Cincinnati squad and the always pesky Gonzaga Bulldogs. They’ve also gone 3-1 ATS in the tournament and barely lost to the spread against Gonzaga with a 73-66 win against a -8.0 point handicap.

If you’re a Kansas pusher you’re not going to be held at fault for continuing to sit behind the Wildcats, but they’re too streaky for my liking and they have been wildly underperforming throughout the year. Everything came together against UNC and that hardly happens with Kansas in big games.

Sullinger will be a massive help in this game that the Buckeyes didn’t have last time they met Kansas, and while he’ll have trouble against Robinson and Whitey, he’ll do enough to free up his teammates to do enough damage to edge out a win against the Jayhawks and the line.

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Final Four Betting Lines: Louisville Tries To Stop Kentucky Juggernaut

When I’m putting my bracket together next year, I’m just putting whomever wins the Big East Tournament right through to the Final Four. Louisville has strung together an incredibly impressive run through their last eight games in the Big East and March Madness tournaments, going 8-0 SU and ATS which means they’ve been a gold rush for NCAA Basketball bettors who backed them during this run.

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Standing in their way, however, is the best team in the country by a long shot. Kentucky took their conference final loss to heart and we can all thank Vanderbilt for waking a sleeping giant. Not only have the Wildcats been toppling their opponents, they’ve been decimating them. They’re winning by +13.75 points per game in the tournament thus far.

That’s made Kentucky a bit of a lean play in March Madness. After finishing their season and championship week with a 5-1 SU and 2-4 ATS record, they’ve gone undefeated in the tournament and also earned a 3-1 ATS record. That lone spread loss was the -26.5 line they had against Western Kentucky in the opening game, and they won that match by a score of 81-66. Hard to fault them.

#4 Louisville Cardinal (30-9) vs. #1 Kentucky Wildcats (36-2)
Saturday, March 31st — 6:05pm EST
March Madness Betting Line: Kentucky -8.5 (137.5)

To keep matters in to perspective, it’s not like Louisville is a pushover. They went 22-13-1 ATS this entire season, and also faced Kentucky on New Year’s Eve losing 69-62 in Kentucky with a +10.0 handicap. That should offer a glimmer of hope. What Louisville excels at is keeping tough games close. They shut down Michigan State 57-44 and also outpaced the Gators 72-68 to reach the Final Four.

Louisville has to be at their absolute best to keep up with Kentucky, which is playing with a sense of purpose that no other team left can match. Kentucky’s transition offense is a blinding thing of beauty, and Louisville simply doesn’t have the legs to keep up with Kentucky at full pace for a full game. Indiana tried that tactic, and ran out of steam.

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Let’s consider that Baylor and Indiana, who Kentucky throttled on route to this game, threw the kitchen sink at Kentucky and both lost by 12 points each. Louisville has had seemingly much stiffer competition, but Florida and MSU were both overachieving to a large extent in the tournament and throughout the year.

Also keep in mind that Kentucky has six guys who are good enough to be first round picks in the NBA Draft, with their two best players (Kidd-Gilchrist and Davis) probably going first and second overall. Louisville has zero players with that pedigree. When that kind of talent finally gels together under a guy like Coach Calipari, it’s almost insane to go the other way. We’ve seen giant killers before in the Final Four, but with a week to prepare for a fairly limited Cardinal team, Kentucky has every reason to incinerate the scoreboard and leave Louisville in their dust.

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Louisville Kentucky Betting: Louisville And Kentucky Renew Blood Feud In Final Four

The Louisville Cardinals and the Kentucky Wildcats regularly meet during the regular season, but they haven’t met in the NCAA tournament since 1984. They’ll clash in this year’s Final Four.

2012 NCAA Final Four – Game 1 Preview

National Semifinal: Louisville Cardinals vs. Kentucky Wildcats – Saturday, March 31
Sports betting line: No line

Why Louisville Will Win

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When you do your homework and assess your sports bet on this game, you must take into account the pressures and dynamics associated with fierce rivalries. One of the things that makes college basketball in general (and the NCAA tournament in particular) so difficult to win is that the motivation levels differ so markedly from game to game. Teams that are lacking in confidence in one game can then be transformed the next game if they’re lucky enough to survive. Teams can and do approach certain games in a state of fear and paralysis, only to live another day and exhibit the very fearlessness that was so absent the night before. This very much describes the journey the Louisville Cardinals have taken in this year’s NCAA tournament, at least at times.

Louisville barely skated by New Mexico in the round of 32, playing a very shaky brand of basketball but doing just enough to hang on in the end. The Cardinals, having emerged from the first weekend of the tournament intact, regathered their strength and their energies and put together a convincing performance in the Sweet 16 round against Michigan State, smacking around the top-seeded Spartans by 13 points, 57-44. Louisville was far more comfortable playing as an underdog four seed against a number one seed than it was as a favored fourth seed against fifth-seeded New Mexico. In the West Regional final against seventh-seeded Florida, Louisville reverted to the edgy, unsettled team it was against New Mexico.

The Cardinals were blitzed in the first 30 minutes and trailed by 11 points midway through the second half. However, they rallied and managed to dig out a 72-68 win when Florida’s three-point shots stopped falling. Now, Louisville gets a chance to take on its archrival, Kentucky. The Cardinals won’t have pressure in this game. They know they’re playing with house money. They have absolutely nothing to lose and should exhibit supreme confidence on the court in the Louisiana Superdome. One great performance, fueled by all this confidence, is very attainable for Louisville. The path to victory very much exists.

Why Kentucky Will Win

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The college basketball betting experts who follow the sport on a regular basis do not need to offer a lengthy dissertation on why Kentucky will win. The Wildcats have a starting five comprised of NBA-level players – some of them will declare for the draft after this season, while a few will probably stick around for one more season and then turn pro. Anthony Davis is the best player in the sport, and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist is the hardest-working player in all of college basketball. Louisville will play hard, but it will not be able to match the skill level Kentucky can put on the court.

Who Will Win

This is not going to be a blowout, but in the end, Kentucky’s superior talent is simply too much to ignore. Louisville coach Rick Pitino will devise a good game plan, but Kentucky’s dynamic starting five plus key reserve Darius Miller will outlast the Cardinals in a good, tough game.

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